The ‘40 Percent’ Myth – John Lott – National Review Online

Obama is lying and he knows it about the claim that up to 40% of guns are obtained without a background check. This absurd claim comes from ONE study in the Clinton years of 251 people. For a number of reasons, the people did not even know if they had purchased from a federal firearm license dealer. But, considering all the problems with the study, here are the bottom line numbers:

If you include these transfers either through FFLs or from family members, the remaining transfers falls to 11.5 percent.

We don’t know the precise number today, but it is hard to believe that it is above single digits.

Yet, what we need to look at are the costs of pushing background checks into private sales and transfers.

We have to realize that the current system of background checks suffers from many flaws, some causing dangerous delays for people who suddenly need a gun for self-defense, such as a woman being stalked by an ex. In addition to crashes in the computers doing the checks, 8 percent of background checks are not accomplished within two hours, with almost all of these delays taking three days or longer.

Obama made many other false statements during his talk. He asserted that “over the last 14 years [background checks] kept 1.5 million of the wrong people from getting their hands on a gun.” But these were only “initial denials,” not people prevented from buying guns.

The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms dropped over 94 percent of those “initial denials” after just preliminary reviews. Virtually all the remaining cases were dropped after further investigation by ATF field offices or the Department of Justice. Few of these “initial denials,” 62 people or about 0.1 percent, involved strong enough evidence to be consideration for prosecution. Just 13 pleaded guilty or were convicted.

via The ‘40 Percent’ Myth – John Lott – National Review Online.